The true sport might be in Bengal, Mamta Didi's sleep will fly, the impact of caste census ..

New Delhi. The Modi cupboard's choice to conduct caste census has made many events sleep. Whereas the massive challenge from Congress chief Rahul Gandhi has been taken away by hand, many opposition events might be engaged in making a brand new technique after this choice. A kind of events is Trinamool Congress. West Bengal CM Mamta Banerjee can’t be dominated out of the potential for each direct and oblique strategies. Meeting elections may be held in West Bengal in March 2026. In such a scenario, Bangladeshi and Rohingya Muslims could have been performed huge on this caste census, which might profit the BJP within the upcoming Bengal elections.

After the assist of the caste census by the Modi cupboard, the potential for West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's concern has elevated as a result of the difficulty could have an effect on her political technique and the scenario of Trinamool Congress (TMC). Mamta Banerjee has run her politics in West Bengal specializing in social inclusion and Bengali id with the slogan of 'Maa, Mati, Manush'. TMC has a powerful base particularly between Muslim and decrease castes. Caste census can change social equations, as it could possibly intensify the polarization of votes amongst completely different castes.

The affect of caste census in Bengal
If the census figures in Bengal are used to offer particular advantages to OBC and different castes, then it could possibly weaken the broad inclusive alliance of TMC. Nevertheless, Mamata Banerjee's authorities had launched a caste-based survey independently in West Bengal, which the BJP focused by accusing appeasement and benefiting the Muslim OBC.

How will BJP redeem?
BJP chief Jagannath Chatterjee claimed that this survey promotes communal discrimination. If the caste census of the Middle questions the scope or credibility of this survey, then Mamta's credibility may be damage. This can improve the danger of polarization of voters, as Hindu-Muslim polarization has already been a significant challenge in West Bengal. After the caste census, if the BJP presents it as a appeasement in opposition to Hindutva, then part of Hindu votes and intensively can go in the direction of the BJP.

After NRC and CAA now Caste Census
Mamta had earlier accused the BJP of including pretend voters and manipulating the voter record by means of NRC/CAA. The problem of caste census could make these allegations extra difficult. Caste census can profit the BJP within the elections of West Bengal. This might be polarized by Hindu votes. Hindu voters, particularly higher castes and a few OBC teams could also be drawn to BJP. Within the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP received 40% vote share and 18 seats, which signifies the assist of Hindu votes.

On the identical time, the choice of caste census has additionally been supported by the opposition events of Bengal like Congress and Left, however Rahul Gandhi later described Bihar's forged survey as pretend. This confusion may give BJP an opportunity to offer a united message in opposition to the opposition. However Mamta Banerjee's recognition and TMC's organizational construction will nonetheless stay within the upcoming Bengal elections for BJP in West Bengal. As a result of, about 27% of the Muslim inhabitants in West Bengal and a lot of decrease castes are firmly related to TMC. Regardless of the caste census, Mamta could possibly preserve this vote financial institution in her favor.